That prorated pace would have put him at over yards on the year through 16 games, making this prop in the money assuming Howard merely replicates his stats across a healthy But also consider that nearly targets opened up in the passing game this year with the combined departures of Adam Humphries and DeSean Jackson. Howard stands to assume a healthy share of those looks and is a good bet to increase his targets per game from 4. Taking the over on yards is a no-brainer.

Devonta Freeman over He has cleared this total in each of the last three seasons in which he played over five games. The fact that he was able to clear this total while sharing the backfield with the more talented at that time Tevin Coleman tells us all we need to know about the fantastic value this line presents. Ito Smith, Qadree Ollison, and Brian Hill are replacement-level backs that may vulture some touchdowns but are likely to be used sparsely between the 20s.

It is one of the very few lines that has already seen some notable movement, as the early bettors and sharps have pushed it to Freeman only needs to average While I will stop short of calling any wager a guarantee or free money, this is about as close as it gets.

Deshaun Watson over Kenny Golladay over 6 Touchdowns Golladay had only five touchdowns last season but saw his reception and yardage numbers increase drastically.

Plus, Golladay has incredible big-play ability, which should lead to at least one or two deep-ball touchdowns. Baker Mayfield under 4, In fact, in each of the three occurrences since , the quarterback in question played for a team that was below the league average in rushing attempts while sporting a bottom scoring defense.

Mayfield surely has the talent to go over, but history is not on his side. Adam Thielen under 1, His receiving totals for these two seasons are 1, and 1, yards.

If the team stays healthy and Dalton performs, the Bengals can contend. They could easily end up in last place if injuries start to flare up again. Betting the spread is one of the most popular bets on the NFL. Oddsmakers establish the point spread by selecting the favorite team and estimating it will win by a certain number of points — called the spread. If a player bets on the favorite, the team must win by more than the point spread to win.

A player can also bet on the underdog, hoping the favorite loses or at, the very least, wins by less than the spread. If a team is listed as Moneyline betting is the easiest NFL bet to make. All a player has to do is pick the winning team. There is no spread to cover so the oddsmakers set the line to pay out favorites less and underdogs more when they win.

A player betting on NFL totals chooses whether the final score of a game will be over or under than the total posted. Prop bets are game-specific bets that are different for each game. An NFL prop bet can be:. Prop bets can consist of a variety of options. The more popular the game, the more prop bets are usually available.

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It can even include options such as the winner of the coin toss. A parlay bet is a bet that includes a series of at least two and up to 12 different bets. A player must win all of the individual bets in the series for the parlay bet to payout. If one of the bets loses, the entire series of bets lose.

The NFL futures market

The more bets in the parlay, the higher the risk; the greater the risk, the bigger the payout. A teaser is a parlay bet where a player can lower the risk by adjusting the spread or total to create better odds of a team covering. Reducing the risk will obviously return a lower payout. Of course, any time a player decreases their risk, it reduces the payout. Futures betting are bets on future events. There are also futures on who will win each division and conference. A round-robin bet takes the bets you want to make and generates multiple parlay bets.

For instance, a player wants to bet on three games. Instead of making a three-team parlay, a player can choose to round-robin it and create three different two-team parlays. Now that you know some of the types of bets you can make here are some basics for NFL betting strategies.

To be a winner at sports betting, you have to find the games with an edge and leverage that to your advantage. Do your research. Find what you think is an advantage and make bets based on that advantage. Some weeks may produce several advantages worth betting on. Others may provide none.

One of the keys to being a successful bettor is to simply stay calm. Everyone loses at some point, and learning how to deal with it can be the difference between being a losing and winner bettor.

Make sure your head is clear and your mind is focused before making a bet.